New families of hybrid orbit propagators based on analytical theories and time series models

  1. San-Juan, J.F. 1
  2. San-Martín, M. 1
  1. 1 Universidad de La Rioja
    info

    Universidad de La Rioja

    Logroño, España

    ROR https://ror.org/0553yr311

Book:
Spaceflight Mechanics 2010

Publisher: American Astronautical Society

ISBN: 978-0-87703-560-2

Year of publication: 2010

Volume: 136

Pages: 547-565

Type: Book chapter

Abstract

In this paper, we present a methodology to perform new families of hybrid real-time and analytical orbit propagators which combine a simplified analytical orbit propagator with time series models. When time series analysis is a useful statistical prediction tool, which, from the studies of past observations of this same series, a model can be built so as to make future predictions. This combination allows an increase in accuracy without significant loss in efficiency of the new propagators as well as modelling those perturbations that have not been considered in the analytical theory. The above features make these types of propagators good candidates as part of an economic onboard orbit determination system.